MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 30-04-2013

Market data on 29-04-2013

• Nifty closed at 5904.10 up by 32.65 points
• Nifty future closed at 5918.20 premium of 14.20
• Open interest of nifty is 1,61,62,300 up by 3,46,750 mostly Fresh long build up.
• Advances 724  Declines 554 Unchanged 89
• Index gainers HUL, Relinfra, Indusind,JPass....
• Index losers Nmdc, Sunpharma,Coalindia, Jindal steel....
• 52 week high Maruti, Dr reddy,Indusind, ITC,Rcom, Lubin....
• 52 week low MRPL, Jindalsteel,Wipro,Iob.... 
  
• Banned security for 30th-April -nil 

 Open interest of nifty

  Put Call Ratio of nifty

Put option =33444150
                 ------------
Call option=28744700

       PCR  =1.16

Market Turnover on 29-04-2013

Conclusion & Suggestion For 30-04-2013
                As per our view trend of the market moves well. Nifty nicely handled by bulls. Nifty again closed above 5900 level, this may give more energy to bulls now. Last three month nifty facing resistance around 5968-5973 and created two tops (Double top) at 5971. But this time we hope nifty will break 5971 & make new high very soon. We thought consolidation was over in the last three days,now  nifty may move with target of 6100. Open interest table not showing exact levels, but PutCall Ratio little favor to bulls. PCR now at 1.16 & nifty open interest increased slightly with fresh long build up.
                Bank nifty now looking to break 52 week high. Very soon we may see new fresh high. Now only thing is metals & Realty sectors not participating in this rally, We are recommending go long on any sector when nifty crosses 5968. Bears keep sl for all your longs at 5971, please close all short position once nifty break  this level.  Before Rbi policy nifty seems to be cross 6000 benchmark. Our premarket calls performing well keep watch our site which is very useful to your trading.

Trend will be positive for bulls, whole session would be looking to positive mood. Nifty may break 5971 on any time.

Nifty levels
Nifty Resistance - 5929-5940,  (major)
Nifty support     -  5840-5853 (major) 
 
Stock calls: 
Rel infra      : Buy above 386 sl 381 target
                           will be 391,397
Coal india      : Sell below 312 sl 316 target
                           will be 307, 304
Union Bank : Buy above 247 sl 242 target
                       will be 254, 260 (positionally)

PORTFOLIO ALERT

  Hold all stocks.....
 
THANKS & REGARDS             90422-04422
      NSEBSENOW                 E-mail--  nsebsenow@gmail.com

MARKET PREDICTION FOR 29-04-2013

Market data's on 26-04-2013

• Nifty closed at 5871.45 down by 44.85 points
• Nifty future closed at 5887.75 premium of 16.30
• Open interest of nifty is 1,58,15,550 up by 7,97,900 mostly Fresh short build up.
• Advances 489  Declines 802 Unchanged 73
• Index gainers Maruti. Airtel, Bajaj auto....
• Index losers Hcl, Relaince, Jindal steel....
• 52 week high Maruti, Dr reddy,Idea, Kotak....
• 52 week low MRPL, Jindalsteel,Wipro,.... 
  
• Banned security for 29th-April -nil 

 Open interest of nifty

 Put Call Ratio of nifty

Put option =31668850
                 ------------
Call option=27473800

       PCR  =1.15

Market Turnover on 26-04-2013

  Conclusion & Suggestion on 29-04-2013
                      Market now highly bullish mood, After a massive move now taking breath. Nifty now looking to hit new high but before reaching that we have strong resistance at 5968 level. Once it crosses this level we may see very big movement on upside. As of now we have strong base near 5840-5853. If it break this zone we may see nifty further downside and also we could not see new high in near term. PutCall Ratio now at 1.15, it's little strong for bulls now. Some of corporate results are coming positively for market. If RBI announce their policy rates favor to this current market condition then Nifty may break new high.
                  Bank nifty now looking to consider profit booking. But keep note Bank nifty weak when closing below 12300, So upto any dip is a chance to buy.  Very soon we are going to see bank nifty at new high. We are believing whenever in bull market bank nifty has to takeover the market towards new high. Now exactly banknifty dominating our market. Please note with in 2 months Sbi will hit around 2600-2700 level.  Sbi results also looking in positive way, so try to buy sbi 2500 call at CMP, we may see good return with low risk.

 Trend in first half flat positive, Second half also favor to bulls, Mainly last one hour bulls will try to push nifty above 5920. 

Nifty levels
Nifty Resistance - 5888-5891, 5929-5940 (major)
Nifty support     -  5840-5853 (major) 
 
Stock calls: 
Maruti            : Buy above 1681 sl 1663 target
                           will be 1701, 1721
Sun pharma   : Sell below 954 sl 962 target
                           will be 948,942
Lic housing    : Buy above 249 sl 244 target
                       will be 256, 262 (positionally)

PORTFOLIO ALERT

  Hold all stocks.....
 
THANKS & REGARDS             90422-04422
      NSEBSENOW                 E-mail--  nsebsenow@gmail.com

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 25-04-2013

Market data's on 23-04-2013

• Nifty closed at 5836.90 up by 2.50 points
• Nifty future closed at 5843 premium of 6.10
• Open interest of nifty is 1,14,31,100 down by 28,25,150 mostly  Roll over to next month...
• Advances 637 Declines 664 Unchanged 71
• Index gainers Bajajauto, Reliance,heromotor, sunpharma....
• Index losers Jindalsteel,Dlf,Hdfcbank, Sbin....
• 52 week high Itc,Finolex, Sunpharma, Mrf....
• 52 week low Jubilant foods,BASF,.....
  
• Banned security for 23rd-April -Renuka, Hdil

 Open interest of nifty

 Putcall Ratio of nifty

Put option =44949350
                 ------------
Call option=29839750

         PCR= 1.50

Market Turnover on 23-04-2013

Conclusion & Suggestion for 25-04-2013
                  Market bounced back exactly from our support level. Now all world markets are firing,nifty looking to open gap up. We already told 5840-5853 is an strong resistance, Last 2-3 days nifty met more struggle to cross this, now this resistance will be looking to break by gap up open only. But be alert on second half, market may seems to be come down very badly due expiry volatile. If nifty  holds the gap up then market may go rally, suppose it break that gap up open then we may see 5760-5730 level on intraday basis. Go short on any upside with max sl of 5968-5973 on closing basis. PCR also little danger for bulls. 
                Bank nifty need for consolidation, it is now in overbought level. Market holding strong base around 5777-5790 level. Market highly bullish now, all indicators are showing buying only, but we expect some consolidation or small correction for short term. For healthy upmove we need this correction, let us see how market would react with our view... RBI monetary policy on 3 may, lots of expectation & rumors are going on in dalal street, Please note we expect 25 basis point relaxation & CRR unchange. Try to buy in metals & Realty stocks. Go short on pharma & IT sectors....

Trend in first half  will be flat positive after opening, second half we may "V" formation.

Nifty levels
Nifty Resistance - 5888-5891, 5929-5940 (major)
Nifty support     -  5777-5790 (major) 
 
Stock calls: 
Bajaj auto        : Buy above 1810 sl 1790 target
                           will be 1830,1840
Bank india       : Sell below 334 sl 338 target
                           will be 329,325 
Chambal fert.  : Buy above 55 sl 53 target
                       will be 58,61 (positionally)

PORTFOLIO ALERT

  Sesagoa activated......
 
         If any one need to add any useful market data's in these analysis, please mail on us we will consider to improve our level of presentation.

THANKS & REGARDS
      NSEBSENOW                 E-mail--  nsebsenow@gmail.com

MARKET PREDICTION FOR 23-04-2013

Market data's on 22-04-2013

• Nifty closed at 5834.40 up by 51.30 points
• Nifty future closed at 5832.85 Discount of 1.55
• Open interest of nifty is 1,42,56,250 down by 33,33,450 mostly short covering With Roll over to next month...
• Advances 832 Declines 469 Unchanged 68
• Index gainers Relinfra, LT,Coalindia, Hdfc bank....
• Index losers Ultracement,Infy,Ongc, Hcl tech, Tcs....
• 52 week high Itc, Indusind bank, Sunpharma, lubin....
• 52 week low Wipro,.....
  
• Banned security for 23rd-April -Renuka

Open interest of nifty

 PutCall Ratio of nifty

Put option =46808650
                  -----------
Call option=32890150

         PCR =1.423


 
                  

  












Market Turnover on 22-04-2013

 Conclusion & Suggestion for 23-04-2013
            As per our view market exactly took resistance at 5840-5853. Market highly bullish now, Still 2 trading sessions will go for this serious. In may month Nifty Open interest increased nearly 27lak shares, so roll over is carried out. 5800 put added nearly 25 lak shares in OI. 5800 may act a good resistance in near term. please modify sl for all your longs at 5800 mark on closing basis. Weekly EOD gives buy signal now, so bulls may take over 5853 level very easily. Once cross 5853 then we may see 5883-5891 very soon.  Put Call Ratio crossed 1.40 now it stays at 1.423, So please take necessary hedging for your holdings.
              Metals now starts to enter into this bull run, IT sectors leaving from this bull run. Also ADAG group performing well now, Still these stocks may go further up from here. Banks moving up continuously, If Hdfc bank deliver good result then banknifty may go further up. Please keep note single close above 5853 we may see good upside. Mostly banknifty moving on RBI policy expectation. Market need to go consolidation, because some underperformed stocks have to go up. Concentrate on metal & realty sectors for next few days.....

Trend is bullish in first half, Second half flat.

Nifty levels
Nifty Resistance - 5845-5853, 5883-5891 (major)
Nifty support     -  5777-5790 (major) 
 
Stock calls: 
Rel infra           : Buy above 383 sl 377 target
                           will be 389,395
Hcl tech           : Sell below 720 sl 727 target
                           will be 714,708
Hindalco          : Buy above 96 sl 92 target
                       will be 99.50, 103 (positionally)

PORTFOLIO ALERT

  Sesagoa not activated, but keep try to Buy Sesagoa at 153-155 Quantity 75....
 
         If any one need to add any useful market data's in these analysis, please mail on us we will consider to improve our level of presentation.

THANKS & REGARDS
      NSEBSENOW                 E-mail--  nsebsenow@gmail.com

MARKET CAPITAL

What is market capital???
                   Market capitalization is the total value of issued shares of a publicly traded company.  In simple word,market capitalization almost equal to current market value of the company,it doesn't evaluate the total asset of the firm. Suppose you looking to buy a company & all of it's shares. Then that firm will offer some price for their firm which is almost equal to market capital of the firm. By using market capitalization we can predict the net worth of the company. Market capital is calculated by 

     Market              Total outstanding      Current market                        capitalization   =           share             x      price (CMP)  

              Let’s understand it with the help of an example. Suppose, you decided to purchase XYZ Industries, when its shares were trading at Rs.150 and the number of  shares outstanding were 1 crore. You would have paid,

  Rs.150     x    1,00,00,000    =    Rs. 150,00,00,000
i.e., Rs. 150 Cr. is the Market Capitalization of XYZ Industries.
    
                                        However, what you should remember is that the market price of a share is the public opinion about the worth of a company’s stock. Thus, Market Capitalization is the public opinion of what the whole company is worth. This opinion is based on the past performance, future prospects and market sentiments of the public about the company. The market capitalization changes with time as a result of factors like company performance, economic factors like inflation, interest rates, etc. In India, you can find companies with market capitalization ranging from a few lakh to as much as few lakh crores! As a result, companies are usually classified as large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap companies. 

What are large-cap, Mid-cap and Small cap????
         We frequently heard the above words in our market circumstances. for example Relaince, TCS, Ongc called large capital stocks. Let us see how they are classified by using market capitalization???....

The 80-15-5 method:

                   BSE’s classifies companies according to their Market Capitalization by using the 80-15-5 method. Here’s how this method works:

• Arrange all the companies in descending order of their Market Capitalization.
• The group of companies from the top, which together contribute 80% of the total Market Capitalization are Large-cap Companies,
• The next group of companies contributing 15% (80-95%) of Market capitalization are Mid-cap companies, and
• The remaining companies which contribute 5% of Market Capitalization are Small-cap companies.

Thus, the Large-cap companies, Mid-cap companies and Small-cap companies contribute 80%, 15% and 5% of the total Market Capitalization of the market respectively. This is known as the 80-15-5 method. The number of small-cap companies is the highest followed by mid-cap and large-cap companies. Thus, a small proportion of the total number of companies (large-cap) contribute the major part (80%) of total market capitalization.  

                                Here we explained by using colors, please imagine like traffic signal. If signal gives green means we can go, red means we never go. Yellow means we have to take the move care-fully.  We suggest You can buy large cap anytime &  anywhere. In mid-cap you have to analysis whether to buy or not And finally never go small gaps.

                         

         However, this does not mean that if the market falls or rises considerably, large-cap companies will become mid-cap and midcap will become small-cap, or vice-versa. Rather, the above ranges will change with a change in Total Market Capitalization.

What is different between these Categories???

                         Market capitalization is regarded as an indicator of a company’s size. Large-cap companies are more robust. A large-cap company can be compared to a heavy goods carrier, while a midcap company to a mini carrier. If there is a speed breaker/bump on the road, the chances of a mini carrier getting knocked down are much more as compared to the heavy goods carrier. At the same time, a mini carrier picks up speed quickly and travels faster as compared to the heavy goods carrier; which requires time to catch up speed but has better stability and momentum. Given below is a comparative account of Large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap companies.

 Before go to trade in any stocks, please consider market capital also act as a key factor for profit making.....